L’École des cotes

Liaoning Tieren FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:00 UTC

Score final : Liaoning Tieren FC 1–2 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prévision 37.70%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.764%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.89%37.66%37.73%38.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.462.6043.48%40.36%40.65%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.74%2.72cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.695%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.38%36.75%36.68%38.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.482.482.6942.92%40.29%40.32%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -0.926%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.38%25.59%25.59%27.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.653.8132.26%27.76%27.40%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:10
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:10
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 04:10
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 04:09
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.34%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.04%EV -6.18%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:34
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -14.40%E -6.18%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-06 04:09
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -14.40%E -6.18%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-06 04:09
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -6.89%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -1.17%E -0.436%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.26%EV -2.60%E -0.683%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 01:55
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:43
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:09
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:49
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 01:46
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 01:50
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 01:53
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 01:44
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:33
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 01:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -11.41%E -4.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 01:44
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.67%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -20.75%E -6.69%K -9.88%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-10 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 38.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 36.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.25%-1.0%2026-05-10 01:59
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 38.98%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%2.6%2026-05-10 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-05-10 03:04