A Escola das Odds

Liaoning Tieren FC v Yunnan Yukun

Início: 2026-05-10 11:00 UTC

Final: Liaoning Tieren FC 1–2 Yunnan Yukun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Previsão 37.70%2.65odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.764%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.89%37.66%37.73%38.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.482.462.6043.48%40.36%40.65%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Previsão 36.74%2.72odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.436%
Kelly -0.695%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.38%36.75%36.68%38.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.332.482.482.6942.92%40.29%40.32%37.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.56%3.91odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -0.683%
Kelly -0.926%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.38%25.59%25.59%27.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.603.653.8132.26%27.76%27.40%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:10
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:10
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 04:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 04:10
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 04:09
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.34%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.04%EV -6.18%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:34
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -14.40%E -6.18%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-06 04:09
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -14.40%E -6.18%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-06 04:09
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -6.89%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -1.17%E -0.436%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.26%EV -2.60%E -0.683%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 01:55
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:43
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:09
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:49
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 01:46
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 01:50
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 01:53
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 01:44
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:33
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 01:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -11.41%E -4.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 01:44
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.67%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -20.75%E -6.69%K -9.88%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-10 01:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 38.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 36.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.25%-1.0%2026-05-10 01:59
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 38.98%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%2.6%2026-05-10 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-05-10 03:04