Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 43.29%2.31fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.15%43.44%43.07%45.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.102.102.2650.51%47.51%47.62%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 31.23%3.20fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.35%31.08%31.36%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.39%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%25.49%25.57%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.603.7732.26%27.79%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 43.29%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 31.23%; Draw: 25.48%. For Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.55%EV -2.16%E -0.954%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.95%EV -6.00%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -4.32%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -11.62%E -4.11%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 11:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.81%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.81%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.89%EV -8.65%E -4.10%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -5.69%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.68%E -5.73%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -21.02%E -6.78%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |