La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Predicción 43.29%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.954%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.15%43.44%43.07%45.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.102.102.2650.51%47.51%47.62%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 31.23%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.518%
Kelly -0.759%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.35%31.08%31.36%32.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.39%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.48%3.92momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.76%25.49%25.57%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.603.7732.26%27.79%27.78%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.55%EV -2.16%E -0.954%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.95%EV -6.00%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -4.32%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -11.62%E -4.11%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:28 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 11:28 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.81%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.81%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.89%EV -8.65%E -4.10%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -5.69%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-29 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-29 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.68%E -5.73%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -21.02%E -6.78%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 11:30 |