L’École des cotes

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 11:35 UTC

Score final : Liaoning Tieren FC 3–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prévision 43.29%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.954%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.15%43.44%43.07%45.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.102.102.2650.51%47.51%47.62%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.23%3.20cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.759%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.35%31.08%31.36%32.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.39%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.48%3.92cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.49%25.57%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.603.7732.26%27.79%27.78%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.55%EV -2.16%E -0.954%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.95%EV -6.00%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 11:20
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -4.32%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -11.62%E -4.11%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 11:29
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:28
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 11:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 11:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 11:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 11:28
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 11:30
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 11:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.81%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 11:19
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.81%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 11:19
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 11:19
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 11:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 11:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 11:30
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 11:29
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.89%EV -8.65%E -4.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -5.69%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 11:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 11:19
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 11:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 11:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-29 11:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.06%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 11:30
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 10:49
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 10:49
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 10:49
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 10:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 10:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-29 11:19
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.68%E -5.73%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -1.63%E -0.518%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 10:49
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -12.55%E -6.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -21.02%E -6.78%K -10.01%G +0.000%18.6%2026-05-29 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 10:49
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -14.28%E -7.21%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%1.2%2026-05-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-05-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-05-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-05-29 11:30
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-05-29 11:30