Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 35.24%2.84fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.61%35.27%35.30%36.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.622.7241.67%38.34%38.17%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.53%2.53fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.21%39.54%39.50%40.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.332.4545.45%42.84%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.23%3.96fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%25.18%25.20%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.643.663.9033.33%27.50%27.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 35.24%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 39.53%; Draw: 25.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.61%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -5.57%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -5.57%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -7.90%E -3.39%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 10:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.79%EV -8.69%E -3.76%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.15%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.51%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.59%E -0.407%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -7.90%E -3.39%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-27 10:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -13.03%E -5.92%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -15.43%E -6.43%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.21%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -24.30%E -8.10%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.52% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 2.9% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |