L’École des cotes

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 11:00 UTC

Score final : Liaoning Tieren FC 1–5 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prévision 35.24%2.84cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.61%35.27%35.30%36.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.622.7241.67%38.34%38.17%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.53%2.53cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.21%39.54%39.50%40.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.332.4545.45%42.84%42.92%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.23%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.83%25.18%25.20%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.643.663.9033.33%27.50%27.32%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.61%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 10:40
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 10:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -5.57%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 10:19
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -5.57%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 10:19
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 10:49
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -7.90%E -3.39%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 10:38
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.79%EV -8.69%E -3.76%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:19
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 10:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.15%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 10:39
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.51%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 10:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 10:49
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.59%E -0.407%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:40
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -7.90%E -3.39%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 10:50
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 10:19
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 10:38
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 10:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 10:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -13.03%E -5.92%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-27 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -15.43%E -6.43%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.21%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -24.30%E -8.10%K -12.15%G +0.000%19.4%2026-06-27 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.52%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-06-27 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-06-27 10:49
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.9%2026-06-27 10:50