La escuela de los momios

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inicio: 2026-06-27 11:00 UTC

Final: Liaoning Tieren FC 1–5 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Predicción 35.24%2.84momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.61%35.27%35.30%36.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.622.7241.67%38.34%38.17%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 39.53%2.53momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.21%39.54%39.50%40.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.332.4545.45%42.84%42.92%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.23%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.407%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.83%25.18%25.20%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.643.663.9033.33%27.50%27.32%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.61%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 10:40
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.16%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 10:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -5.57%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 10:19
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -5.57%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 10:19
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 10:49
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -7.90%E -3.39%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 10:38
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.79%EV -8.69%E -3.76%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:19
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 10:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:39
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 10:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.15%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 10:39
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.51%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 10:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 10:49
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.59%E -0.407%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 10:40
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -7.90%E -3.39%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 10:50
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.11%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.29%E -3.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 10:19
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 10:38
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 10:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 10:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -13.03%E -5.92%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-27 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -15.43%E -6.43%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.21%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -24.30%E -8.10%K -12.15%G +0.000%19.4%2026-06-27 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.52%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-06-27 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-06-27 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-06-27 10:49
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.9%2026-06-27 10:50