Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV +4.54%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.94%30.59%30.75%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.053.4035.71%32.11%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beijing FC (Visit)
Prediction 43.72%2.29fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.38%43.81%43.74%46.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.102.2251.28%48.39%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.60%25.51%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.583.8032.26%28.15%27.97%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 30.75%; Beijing FC (Visit): 43.72%; Draw: 25.53%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -13.43%E -6.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV +3.00%E +0.897%K +1.28%G +0.038% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV +1.47%E +0.444%K +0.637%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.75%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV +1.47%E +0.444%K +0.637%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.75%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -0.686%E -0.212%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -9.94%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.81%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.89%EV -4.25%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 07:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -5.91%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.94%EV -7.75%E -3.67%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 07:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 07:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.85%E -6.73%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |