L’École des cotesFrançais
Liaoning Tieren FC v Beijing FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV +4.54%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.086%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.94%30.59%30.75%31.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.053.4035.71%32.11%32.79%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Beijing FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.72%2.29cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%43.81%43.74%46.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.102.2251.28%48.39%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.53%3.92cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.784%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.60%25.51%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.583.8032.26%28.15%27.97%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -13.43%E -6.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 14:54 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV +3.00%E +0.897%K +1.28%G +0.038% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV +1.47%E +0.444%K +0.637%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.75%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV +1.47%E +0.444%K +0.637%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.75%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -0.686%E -0.212%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -9.94%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.81%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.89%EV -4.25%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 07:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -5.91%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.94%EV -7.75%E -3.67%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 07:09 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 07:09 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 07:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.85%E -6.73%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |