La scuola delle quote

Liaoning Tieren FC v Beijing FC

Inizio: 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Casa)

Previsione 30.75%3.25quota equa
EV +4.54%
Vantaggio +1.34%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.086%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.94%30.59%30.75%31.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.113.053.4035.71%32.11%32.79%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Beijing FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.72%2.29quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.38%43.81%43.74%46.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.072.102.2251.28%48.39%47.62%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.53%3.92quota equa
EV -2.98%
Vantaggio -0.784%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.51%25.60%25.51%27.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.553.583.8032.26%28.15%27.97%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -13.43%E -6.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 14:54
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:54
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:55
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:54
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:55
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:55
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV +3.00%E +0.897%K +1.28%G +0.038%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 07:05
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV +1.47%E +0.444%K +0.637%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.75%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV +1.47%E +0.444%K +0.637%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.75%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:00
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -0.686%E -0.212%K -0.308%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -9.94%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 07:19
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 07:20
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -2.94%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 07:19
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.81%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.89%EV -4.25%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 07:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 07:08
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -5.91%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.94%EV -7.75%E -3.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 07:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 07:05
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 07:25
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 07:25
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 07:09
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 07:10
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.31%E -3.45%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 07:10
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 07:05
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 07:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 07:10
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 07:19
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 07:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 07:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:44
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 07:10
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 07:15
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 07:04
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 07:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 07:05
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 07:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.85%E -6.73%K -9.93%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-04 07:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-04 07:25
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-04-04 07:25