Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC v Yunnan Yukun

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 55.20%1.81fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%55.07%55.08%57.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.671.671.7767.11%59.99%59.70%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -0.361%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.100%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.26%21.76%21.75%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.234.204.6027.78%23.66%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.14%4.32fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.504%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%23.16%23.17%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.933.954.2529.41%25.43%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 55.20%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 21.66%; Draw: 23.14%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.361%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:25
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -1.44%E -0.317%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -1.44%E -0.317%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -15.52%E -4.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 07:25
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.89%EV -7.51%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.13%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:25
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.89%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.54%EV -8.81%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 07:24
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -3.26%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.64%E -0.385%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 07:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -8.38%E -5.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.53%E -0.562%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.27%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.27%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 07:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.361%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -11.69%E -7.30%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -13.34%E -8.50%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.31%E -6.27%K -8.88%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-15 07:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.05%EV -13.90%E -8.91%K -24.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.74%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -14.37%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-15 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.17%EV -17.21%E -11.47%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.06%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.77%EV -14.37%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.41%EV -17.76%E -11.92%K -36.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%1.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.2%2026-03-15 07:25