La escuela de los momios

Henan FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Predicción 55.20%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.38%55.07%55.08%57.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.671.671.7767.11%59.99%59.70%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 21.66%4.62momio equitativo
EV -0.361%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.100%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.26%21.76%21.75%24.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.234.204.6027.78%23.66%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.14%4.32momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.504%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.00%23.16%23.17%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.933.954.2529.41%25.43%25.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:25
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:25
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -1.44%E -0.317%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -1.44%E -0.317%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 07:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:24
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -15.52%E -4.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 07:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.89%EV -7.51%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.13%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:25
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:24
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.89%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.54%EV -8.81%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 07:24
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 07:25
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -3.26%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 07:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.64%E -0.385%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 07:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -8.38%E -5.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.53%E -0.562%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.27%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.27%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 07:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.361%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -11.69%E -7.30%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -13.34%E -8.50%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.31%E -6.27%K -8.88%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-15 07:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.05%EV -13.90%E -8.91%K -24.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.74%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -14.37%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-15 07:25
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.17%EV -17.21%E -11.47%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.06%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.77%EV -14.37%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.41%EV -17.76%E -11.92%K -36.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 07:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%1.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.2%2026-03-15 07:25