L’École des cotes

Henan FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 55.20%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.38%55.07%55.08%57.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.671.671.7767.11%59.99%59.70%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.66%4.62cote équitable
EV -0.361%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.26%21.76%21.75%24.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.234.204.6027.78%23.66%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.14%4.32cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%23.16%23.17%24.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.933.954.2529.41%25.43%25.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:25
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 07:25
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -1.44%E -0.317%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -1.44%E -0.317%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 07:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 07:24
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -15.52%E -4.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 07:25
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.89%EV -7.51%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.13%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 07:25
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:24
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.89%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.54%EV -8.81%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 07:24
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 07:25
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 07:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -3.26%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 07:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.64%E -0.385%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 07:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 07:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -8.38%E -5.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.53%E -0.562%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.27%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.27%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 07:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 07:25
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.361%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -11.69%E -7.30%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -9.74%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -13.34%E -8.50%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.31%E -6.27%K -8.88%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-15 07:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.05%EV -13.90%E -8.91%K -24.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.74%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -14.37%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-15 07:25
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.17%EV -17.21%E -11.47%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.06%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.77%EV -14.37%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.41%EV -17.76%E -11.92%K -36.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 07:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-03-15 07:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%1.8%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.2%2026-03-15 07:25