The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Henan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 26.42%3.79fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 3.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%26.15%26.68%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.503.403.9731.75%28.55%29.41%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 46.29%2.16fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.74%46.22%46.35%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.002.002.1253.76%49.98%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%27.63%26.97%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.403.6033.33%30.17%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 26.42%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 46.29%; Draw: 27.29%. For Henan FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.82%EV +4.87%E +1.23%K +1.64%G +0.080%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.68%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:00
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +4.34%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -16.76%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:54
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.35%EV +3.55%E +0.905%K +1.22%G +0.043%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.11%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.55%EV -11.85%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV +0.378%E +0.100%K +0.135%G +0.001%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.10%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -14.30%E -4.55%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +0.378%E +0.100%K +0.135%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.66%E -5.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:42
GTbets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.29%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:04
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:14
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:40
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:05
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:39
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:28
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.66%E -5.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:09
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:39
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -1.86%E -0.877%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 16:44
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:04
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 04:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -16.79%E -5.33%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.42%EV -13.90%E -7.47%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-04-23 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-04-23 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.56%8.0%2026-04-24 02:55