L’École des cotesFrançais
Henan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Henan FC (Local)
Prévision 26.42%3.79cote équitable
EV +4.87%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.080%
avec la cote maximale 3.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%26.15%26.68%28.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.503.403.9731.75%28.55%29.41%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.29%2.16cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.877%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%46.22%46.35%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.002.002.1253.76%49.98%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.29%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.486%
Kelly -0.672%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.90%27.63%26.97%31.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.403.6033.33%30.17%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.82%EV +4.87%E +1.23%K +1.64%G +0.080% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.68%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Bovada | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +4.34%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -16.76%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.35%EV +3.55%E +0.905%K +1.22%G +0.043% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.11%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.55%EV -11.85%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| BetUS | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV +0.378%E +0.100%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.10%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -14.30%E -4.55%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +0.378%E +0.100%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.66%E -5.52%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 16:42 |
| GTbets | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.29%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 12:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.66%E -5.52%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -1.86%E -0.877%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| betfred_uk | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -16.79%E -5.33%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.42%EV -13.90%E -7.47%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.56% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |