A Escola das Odds

Henan FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Início: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Previsão 26.42%3.79odd justa
EV +4.87%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescimento +0.080%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.74%26.15%26.68%28.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.503.403.9731.75%28.55%29.41%25.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Previsão 46.29%2.16odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -0.877%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.74%46.22%46.35%47.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.862.002.002.1253.76%49.98%50.00%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.29%3.66odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.486%
Kelly -0.672%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.90%27.63%26.97%31.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.313.403.6033.33%30.17%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.97I 25.19%NM 23.82%EV +4.87%E +1.23%K +1.64%G +0.080%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.68%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:00
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +4.34%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.064%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -16.76%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:54
1xBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.35%EV +3.55%E +0.905%K +1.22%G +0.043%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.11%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.55%EV -11.85%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +3.02%E +0.774%K +1.04%G +0.031%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV +0.378%E +0.100%K +0.135%G +0.001%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.10%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -14.30%E -4.55%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +0.378%E +0.100%K +0.135%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.66%E -5.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:50
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.58%E -0.982%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:42
GTbets3.64I 27.47%NM 26.29%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 14:54
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 16:44
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:04
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.34%E -4.21%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:14
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:40
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:03
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:39
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:28
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.66%E -5.52%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:09
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:39
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -1.86%E -0.877%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 16:44
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 17:05
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:04
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 04:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -16.79%E -5.33%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.42%EV -13.90%E -7.47%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-04-23 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-04-23 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%5.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.56%8.0%2026-04-24 02:55