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Henan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2026-08-29 12:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 58.03%1.72fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.12%57.97%57.95%59.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.601.6465.79%62.89%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.279%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.28%18.00%17.95%19.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.105.055.5121.28%19.60%19.80%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.703%
Kelly -0.934%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%24.03%24.10%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.804.0427.78%26.18%26.32%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Henan FC (Local): 58.03%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 17.92%; Draw: 24.05%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.51, with an expected value of -1.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -4.83%E -2.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 13:00
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.00%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.35%EV -1.26%E -0.228%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.66%EV -2.84%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.80%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 14:29
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.48%EV -3.59%E -0.667%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.67%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.61%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.67%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.61%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.80%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:30
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.61%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 13:50
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 17:18
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.80%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 12:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -8.31%E -5.26%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -4.13%E -0.771%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.73%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.61%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.89%E -5.66%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -10.05%E -6.49%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.63%E -6.91%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.61%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.66%EV -11.79%E -7.76%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 57.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%7.0%2026-08-23 17:50