Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 11.28
assuming max odds 5.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 72.41%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 9.19%; Draw: 18.41%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.61%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.35%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 11.28I 8.87%NM 8.47%EV +3.61%E +0.320%K +0.352%G +0.013% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.18%EV -8.33%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +1.04%E +0.095%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.22%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +1.04%E +0.095%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.34%EV -1.52%E -0.285%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -19.01%E -4.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.10%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.32%EV -9.98%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.75%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.45%EV -10.90%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.80%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.75%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.45%EV -10.90%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.80%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.37%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.51I 10.52%NM 9.82%EV -12.64%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.82%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -11.66%E -9.56%K -53.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.01%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.41I 10.63%NM 9.95%EV -13.56%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.04%EV -4.47%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.18%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -17.33%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.06%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.29%EV -20.09%E -2.31%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.54%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -0.602%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -10.21%E -8.24%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -26.52%E -3.31%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -1.53%E -1.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59% | 0.1% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.13% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.91% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |