Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Henan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 72.41%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -4.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.41%72.22%72.11%74.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.291.3681.97%77.52%77.52%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.19%10.89cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +0.320%
Kelly +0.352%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 11.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.43%9.39%9.25%12.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.509.369.5011.2813.33%10.68%10.53%8.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.41%5.43cote équitable
EV -0.602%
Avantage -0.112%
Kelly -0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.79%18.39%18.64%20.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.924.905.4022.73%20.34%20.41%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Henan FC (Local) : 72.41% ; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur) : 9.19% ; Match nul : 18.41%. Pour Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.89. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.28, soit une espérance positive de +3.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.35%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%11.28I 8.87%NM 8.47%EV +3.61%E +0.320%K +0.352%G +0.013%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.18%EV -8.33%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +1.04%E +0.095%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.22%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +1.04%E +0.095%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.34%EV -1.52%E -0.285%K -0.350%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:30
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 11:55
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -19.01%E -4.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.10%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.32%EV -9.98%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:40
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.75%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.45%EV -10.90%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.80%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.75%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.45%EV -10.90%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.80%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:50
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.37%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%9.51I 10.52%NM 9.82%EV -12.64%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.82%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -11.66%E -9.56%K -53.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:30
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.01%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.41I 10.63%NM 9.95%EV -13.56%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.04%EV -4.47%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.18%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -17.33%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.06%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.29%EV -20.09%E -2.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.54%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -0.602%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:50
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 11:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 11:41
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -10.21%E -8.24%K -42.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -26.52%E -3.31%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 11:50
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -1.53%E -1.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 11:54
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59%0.1%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.13%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%0.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46%0.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46%0.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.91%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82%1.0%2026-08-29 11:50