Idioma:Español
Henan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Henan FC (Local)
Predicción 72.41%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.41%72.22%72.11%74.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3681.97%77.52%77.52%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)
Predicción 9.19%10.89momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +0.320%
Kelly +0.352%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.43%9.39%9.25%12.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.509.369.5011.2813.33%10.68%10.53%8.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.41%5.43momio equitativo
EV -0.602%
Ventaja -0.112%
Kelly -0.137%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.79%18.39%18.64%20.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.924.905.4022.73%20.34%20.41%18.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Henan FC (Local): 72.41%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante): 9.19%; Empate: 18.41%. Para Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.89. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.28, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.61%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.35%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 11.28I 8.87%NM 8.47%EV +3.61%E +0.320%K +0.352%G +0.013% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.18%EV -8.33%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +1.04%E +0.095%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.22%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +1.04%E +0.095%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.34%EV -1.52%E -0.285%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -3.55%E -0.338%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -8.14%E -0.814%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -19.01%E -4.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.10%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.32%EV -9.98%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.75%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.45%EV -10.90%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.80%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.75%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.45%EV -10.90%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.80%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.37%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.51I 10.52%NM 9.82%EV -12.64%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.82%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -11.66%E -9.56%K -53.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.74%E -1.34%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.01%EV -5.87%E -4.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 9.41I 10.63%NM 9.95%EV -13.56%E -1.44%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.04%EV -4.47%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.18%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -17.33%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.06%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.29%EV -20.09%E -2.31%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.54%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -0.602%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.49%E -7.59%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.92%E -2.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -10.21%E -8.24%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -26.52%E -3.31%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -1.53%E -1.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -31.11%E -4.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59% | 0.1% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.13% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.91% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |