Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–3 Qingdao West Coast FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 45.75%2.19fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.74%45.79%45.83%48.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1453.19%49.98%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV +0.259%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.47%26.46%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.503.7832.26%28.75%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.73%3.61fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.74%27.71%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.353.5034.72%30.05%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 45.75%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 26.52%; Draw: 27.73%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.259%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV +0.259%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.60%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 11:45
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.86%E -0.504%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -13.07%E -6.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -1.86%E -0.504%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:43
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.64%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 11:44
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -11.24%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -12.16%E -6.33%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:45
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -12.62%E -6.61%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:44
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.41%E -4.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.24%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.85%EV -4.07%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 11:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:44
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 11:53
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.21%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -11.24%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -17.78%E -5.73%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.15%E -7.00%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-15 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%0.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:49
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:49