La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inicio: 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–3 Qingdao West Coast FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 45.75%2.19momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.74%45.79%45.83%48.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.002.002.1453.19%49.98%50.00%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante)

Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV +0.259%
Ventaja +0.068%
Kelly +0.093%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.47%26.46%27.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.7832.26%28.75%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.73%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.846%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.42%27.74%27.71%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.5034.72%30.05%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV +0.259%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.60%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 11:45
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.86%E -0.504%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:54
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -13.07%E -6.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -1.86%E -0.504%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:43
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 11:55
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.64%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 11:44
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -11.24%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:44
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -12.16%E -6.33%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:45
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -12.62%E -6.61%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:44
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.41%E -4.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.24%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.85%EV -4.07%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:45
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 11:44
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:44
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 11:53
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.21%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 11:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -11.24%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -17.78%E -5.73%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.15%E -7.00%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-15 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%0.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:49
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:49