L’École des cotes

Dalian Yingbo v Qingdao West Coast FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 12:00 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 2–3 Qingdao West Coast FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 45.75%2.19cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%45.79%45.83%48.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.002.002.1453.19%49.98%50.00%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV +0.259%
Avantage +0.068%
Kelly +0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.47%26.46%27.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.7832.26%28.75%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.73%3.61cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.846%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.74%27.71%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.333.353.5034.72%30.05%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV +0.259%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.60%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 11:45
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.86%E -0.504%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:54
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -13.07%E -6.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -1.86%E -0.504%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:43
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 11:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 11:55
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.64%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 11:44
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.97%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:55
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -11.24%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:44
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:45
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -11.70%E -6.06%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.96%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 11:44
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -12.16%E -6.33%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:45
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -12.62%E -6.61%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 11:44
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -9.41%E -4.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.24%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.85%EV -4.07%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:45
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 11:44
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:44
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 11:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 11:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.58%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 11:53
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.21%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 11:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:54
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 11:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -13.99%E -7.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -11.24%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -16.45%E -5.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -17.78%E -5.73%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.15%E -7.00%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-15 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%0.1%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:49
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-05-15 11:49