Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 12:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.558%
Kelly +0.888%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%37.91%37.42%39.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.442.6943.48%41.07%40.98%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV +4.46%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.55%34.61%35.09%36.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.652.603.0040.82%37.74%38.46%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.48%27.49%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.5231.25%29.77%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 37.73%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 34.82%; Draw: 27.45%. For Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +4.46%E +1.49%K +2.23%G +0.099%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -8.69%E -3.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.64%EV +0.977%E +0.337%K +0.514%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +0.280%E +0.097%K +0.149%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:49
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 11:49
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.93%E -3.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.20%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 11:46
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.72%EV -1.89%E -0.729%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -6.13%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.83%EV +1.50%E +0.558%K +0.888%G +0.013%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.38%E -0.961%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 11:39
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 11:49
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:50
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.87%EV -6.05%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 11:50
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.61%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.61%EV -10.86%E -4.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 11:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.69%E -6.00%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-05-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-23 11:49