La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inicio: 2026-05-23 12:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 37.73%2.65momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.558%
Kelly +0.888%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.83%37.91%37.42%39.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.442.6943.48%41.07%40.98%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.82%2.87momio equitativo
EV +4.46%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.099%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.55%34.61%35.09%36.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.652.603.0040.82%37.74%38.46%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.961%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.48%27.49%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.403.5231.25%29.77%29.41%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +4.46%E +1.49%K +2.23%G +0.099%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -8.69%E -3.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.64%EV +0.977%E +0.337%K +0.514%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +0.280%E +0.097%K +0.149%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:49
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 11:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 11:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.93%E -3.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.20%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 11:46
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.72%EV -1.89%E -0.729%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -6.13%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 11:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.83%EV +1.50%E +0.558%K +0.888%G +0.013%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.38%E -0.961%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 11:39
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 11:49
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:50
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:50
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.87%EV -6.05%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 11:50
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.61%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.61%EV -10.86%E -4.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:49
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:49
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 11:50
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 11:50
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 11:49
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.69%E -6.00%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 11:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-05-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-23 11:49