L’École des cotes

Dalian Yingbo v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 12:00 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 2–0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 37.73%2.65cote équitable
EV +1.50%
Avantage +0.558%
Kelly +0.888%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.83%37.91%37.42%39.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.442.6943.48%41.07%40.98%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.82%2.87cote équitable
EV +4.46%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.55%34.61%35.09%36.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.652.603.0040.82%37.74%38.46%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -0.961%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%27.48%27.49%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.403.5231.25%29.77%29.41%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +4.46%E +1.49%K +2.23%G +0.099%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -8.69%E -3.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.64%EV +0.977%E +0.337%K +0.514%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +0.280%E +0.097%K +0.149%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:49
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 11:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 11:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -2.51%E -0.895%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -10.20%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.93%E -3.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.20%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 11:46
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.72%EV -1.89%E -0.729%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -6.13%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 11:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.83%EV +1.50%E +0.558%K +0.888%G +0.013%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.38%E -0.961%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 11:39
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 11:49
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 11:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:50
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:50
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.87%EV -6.05%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 11:50
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.61%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.61%EV -10.86%E -4.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 11:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:49
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 11:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 11:49
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 11:50
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 11:50
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 11:49
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.21%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.69%E -6.00%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 11:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-05-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.96%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-23 11:49