Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dalian Yingbo v Beijing FC

Início: 2026-08-28 11:35 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 1–1 Beijing FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Previsão 31.99%3.13odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.343%
Kelly +0.501%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.70%31.93%32.05%33.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.942.903.1638.17%34.06%34.48%31.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Beijing FC (Visitante)

Previsão 42.83%2.33odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.95%42.90%42.77%44.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.132.152.2450.51%46.92%46.51%44.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.18%3.97odd justa
EV -0.019%
Vantagem -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.21%25.17%25.18%26.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.613.603.9729.41%27.69%27.78%25.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 31.99%; Beijing FC (Visitante): 42.83%; Empate: 25.18%. Para Dalian Yingbo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.13. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.86%EV +1.08%E +0.343%K +0.501%G +0.005%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.29%EV -8.78%E -4.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 10:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.74%EV +0.443%E +0.141%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.25%EV -9.63%E -4.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.01%EV -9.59%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 11:25
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.44%E -0.799%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -12.63%E -6.19%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 10:20
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:10
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -13.49%E -6.68%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.62%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.15%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -0.019%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:20
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -15.20%E -7.68%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -15.20%E -7.68%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 11:19
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.06%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.60%E -2.98%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 11:15
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -6.64%E -3.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -6.64%E -3.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:13
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:14
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -6.64%E -3.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 11:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 11:20
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-28 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-28 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.60%E -2.98%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-28 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -16.19%E -6.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -12.20%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-28 11:30
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-28 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-08-28 11:30