Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dalian Yingbo v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-28 11:35 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 1–1 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 31.99%3.13cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.343%
Kelly +0.501%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.70%31.93%32.05%33.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.942.903.1638.17%34.06%34.48%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.83%2.33cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.95%42.90%42.77%44.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.132.152.2450.51%46.92%46.51%44.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.019%
Avantage -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.21%25.17%25.18%26.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.613.603.9729.41%27.69%27.78%25.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dalian Yingbo (Local) : 31.99% ; Beijing FC (Visiteur) : 42.83% ; Match nul : 25.18%. Pour Dalian Yingbo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.13. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.16, soit une espérance positive de +1.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.86%EV +1.08%E +0.343%K +0.501%G +0.005%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.29%EV -8.78%E -4.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 10:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV +0.763%E +0.242%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:20
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.74%EV +0.443%E +0.141%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.25%EV -9.63%E -4.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.01%EV -9.59%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 11:25
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.44%E -0.799%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -12.63%E -6.19%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 10:20
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:10
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -13.49%E -6.68%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.62%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.15%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -0.019%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:20
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -15.20%E -7.68%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -15.20%E -7.68%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 11:19
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.97%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.06%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.60%E -2.98%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 11:15
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -6.64%E -3.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -6.64%E -3.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.11%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 11:10
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:13
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:14
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -6.64%E -3.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 11:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 11:20
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-28 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-28 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.60%E -2.98%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-28 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -16.19%E -6.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -12.20%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-28 11:30
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-28 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-08-28 11:30