Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.69
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 35.58%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 36.41%; Draw: 28.01%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -4.29%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.91%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 11:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.21%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.97%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.53%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.50%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 22:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.71%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.71%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 02:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-18 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-18 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -8.91%E -3.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -14.44%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.35%E -5.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-19 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.26%E -7.07%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-18 11:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.61%E -6.09%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.33%E -6.71%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |