L’École des cotes

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 12:00 UTC

Score final : Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0–0 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 35.58%2.81cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.53%35.61%35.61%36.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.6941.67%38.87%38.46%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.41%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.999%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.45%36.34%36.41%37.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.552.7043.48%39.06%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.56%28.05%27.98%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.65%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -4.29%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.91%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 11:34
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.21%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:59
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 35.97%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.53%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.50%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 11:19
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 22:57
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:20
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.71%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.71%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:30
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 02:48
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 12:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 12:05
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -8.91%E -3.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 02:49
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 23:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -14.44%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 11:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.35%E -5.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-19 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.26%E -7.07%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-18 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.61%E -6.09%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.33%E -6.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-19 23:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49