La escuela de los momios

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-05-20 12:00 UTC

Final: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0–0 Yunnan Yukun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Predicción 35.58%2.81momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.53%35.61%35.61%36.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.6941.67%38.87%38.46%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.45%36.34%36.41%37.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.552.7043.48%39.06%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.01%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.560%
Kelly -0.785%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.56%28.05%27.98%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.65%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -4.29%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.91%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 11:34
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.21%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:59
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -2.43%E -0.905%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 35.97%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.53%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.50%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 11:19
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 22:57
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:20
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.71%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.71%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:30
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 02:48
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.80%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 12:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 12:05
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -8.91%E -3.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -1.70%E -0.629%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 02:49
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 23:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -14.44%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 11:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.35%E -5.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-19 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.83%E -5.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.26%E -7.07%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-18 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.61%E -6.09%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.62%E -5.26%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.33%E -6.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-19 23:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49