La scuola delle quote

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inizio: 2026-06-27 12:00 UTC

Finale: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Casa)

Previsione 45.06%2.22quota equa
EV -4.01%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -3.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.78%45.24%45.07%48.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.022.052.1354.05%49.54%48.78%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.57%4.07quota equa
EV +0.751%
Vantaggio +0.183%
Kelly +0.242%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.31%24.42%24.58%25.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.843.804.1029.41%26.04%26.32%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.36%3.29quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -0.888%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.79%30.35%30.34%31.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.063.063.2034.72%32.66%32.68%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 11:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -14.83%E -7.85%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 10:09
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -15.28%E -8.13%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -15.28%E -8.13%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 10:10
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.08%EV -4.01%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV +0.260%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 11:49
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:49
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:49
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -16.63%E -8.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -16.63%E -8.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 10:09
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -3.67%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 11:39
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -3.75%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 11:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 11:50
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:48
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 11:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 11:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.30%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -8.34%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 10:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 11:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 11:19
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.24%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -8.97%E -4.44%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 11:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 04:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.76%E -3.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 11:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -10.77%E -5.44%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:49
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-06-27 10:40