La escuela de los momios

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inicio: 2026-06-27 12:00 UTC

Final: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Predicción 45.06%2.22momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -3.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.78%45.24%45.07%48.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.022.052.1354.05%49.54%48.78%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)

Predicción 24.57%4.07momio equitativo
EV +0.751%
Ventaja +0.183%
Kelly +0.242%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.31%24.42%24.58%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.843.804.1029.41%26.04%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.36%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -0.888%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.79%30.35%30.34%31.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.063.063.2034.72%32.66%32.68%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 11:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -14.83%E -7.85%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 10:09
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -15.28%E -8.13%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -15.28%E -8.13%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 10:10
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.08%EV -4.01%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV +0.260%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 11:49
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:49
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:49
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -16.63%E -8.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -16.63%E -8.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 10:09
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -3.67%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 11:39
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -3.75%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 11:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 11:50
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:48
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 11:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 11:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.30%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -8.34%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 10:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 11:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 11:19
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.24%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -8.97%E -4.44%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 11:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 04:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.76%E -3.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 11:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -10.77%E -5.44%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:49
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-06-27 10:40