مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

البداية: 2026-06-27 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.06%2.22السعر العادل
EV -4.01%
الأفضلية -1.88%
Kelly -3.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.78%45.24%45.07%48.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.022.052.1354.05%49.54%48.78%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.57%4.07السعر العادل
EV +0.751%
الأفضلية +0.183%
Kelly +0.242%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.31%24.42%24.58%25.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.843.804.1029.41%26.04%26.32%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.36%3.29السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -0.888%
Kelly -1.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.79%30.35%30.34%31.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.063.063.2034.72%32.66%32.68%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 11:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:10
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -13.48%E -7.02%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 10:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -14.83%E -7.85%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 10:09
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -15.28%E -8.13%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -15.28%E -8.13%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +0.751%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 10:10
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.08%EV -4.01%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV +0.260%E +0.064%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 11:49
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:49
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:49
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -16.63%E -8.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -16.63%E -8.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -1.71%E -0.426%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 10:09
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -3.67%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 11:39
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -3.75%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 11:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 11:50
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:48
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 11:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 11:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.30%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -8.34%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 10:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 11:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.27%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.40%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 11:19
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.24%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -8.97%E -4.44%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -10.31%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 11:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 10:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.62%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.54%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 04:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.76%E -3.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 11:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.94%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -10.77%E -5.44%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -16.45%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 11:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:49
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-27 11:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-06-27 10:40