Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prediction 51.30%1.95fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.03%51.30%51.29%52.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.791.8658.14%55.93%56.02%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.86%4.58fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -0.991%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.10%21.87%21.82%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.224.254.4227.40%23.67%23.53%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.72%26.83%26.89%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.453.6032.26%29.24%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 51.30%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 21.86%; Draw: 26.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -3.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -4.58%E -2.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.59%EV -3.39%E -0.767%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.52%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:54
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.16%EV -7.32%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.77%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.92%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.02%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -11.48%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:14
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -11.48%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.28%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.14%EV -8.20%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:13
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 14:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -13.66%E -3.46%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:43
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:24
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -16.94%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.36%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.24%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -11.25%E -6.50%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.79%E -5.42%K -8.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 07:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.19%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -20.22%E -5.54%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.64%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.94%10.8%2026-04-24 00:39