La escuela de los momios

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inicio: 2026-04-26 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Predicción 51.30%1.95momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -5.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.03%51.30%51.29%52.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.791.791.8658.14%55.93%56.02%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.86%4.58momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -0.991%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.10%21.87%21.82%23.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.224.254.4227.40%23.67%23.53%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.936%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.72%26.83%26.89%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.453.6032.26%29.24%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -4.58%E -2.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.59%EV -3.39%E -0.767%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.52%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:54
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.16%EV -7.32%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.77%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:09
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:05
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.92%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:54
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.02%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:55
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -11.48%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:14
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -11.48%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:14
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.28%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.14%EV -8.20%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 18:44
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:10
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:13
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 14:53
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -13.66%E -3.46%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 14:54
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:43
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:24
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:24
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:49
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -16.94%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 14:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.36%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.24%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:24
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -11.25%E -6.50%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.79%E -5.42%K -8.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 07:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.19%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -20.22%E -5.54%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.64%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.94%10.8%2026-04-24 00:39