L’École des cotes

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 51.30%1.95cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -5.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.03%51.30%51.29%52.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.791.791.8658.14%55.93%56.02%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.86%4.58cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -0.767%
Kelly -0.991%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.10%21.87%21.82%23.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.224.254.4227.40%23.67%23.53%22.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.84%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -0.936%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.72%26.83%26.89%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.453.6032.26%29.24%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -4.58%E -2.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.59%EV -3.39%E -0.767%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.52%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:54
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.16%EV -7.32%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.77%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:09
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:05
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.92%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:54
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.54%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.02%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:55
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:49
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -11.48%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:14
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -11.48%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:14
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.28%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.14%EV -8.20%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 18:44
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:10
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:13
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 14:53
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -13.66%E -3.46%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 14:54
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.83%E -0.869%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:43
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:24
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:24
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 06:25
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -4.92%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:49
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -9.71%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -16.94%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 14:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -5.36%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.24%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 06:24
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.22%E -5.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -11.25%E -6.50%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.79%E -5.42%K -8.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 07:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.13%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.19%EV -11.76%E -6.84%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -20.22%E -5.54%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.64%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.94%10.8%2026-04-24 00:39