Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.10
assuming max odds 1.97
assuming max odds 3.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 24.04%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 48.85%; Draw: 27.11%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -8.66%E -4.63%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -2.62%E -0.648%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -2.62%E -0.648%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.51%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -9.14%E -4.92%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24%EV -12.56%E -7.02%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.27%EV -5.93%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.75%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.66%E -4.63%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.49%E -8.96%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-21 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 05:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.49%EV -16.96%E -9.98%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.14%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.85%EV -14.52%E -8.30%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -17.05%E -4.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -10.12%E -5.50%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-21 05:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |