L’École des cotes

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 24.04%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -0.459%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%24.02%24.06%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.863.904.1028.99%25.88%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.85%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.08%48.91%48.83%51.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.861.881.9758.82%53.78%53.33%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.83%27.07%27.11%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.423.5533.33%29.40%29.20%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:30
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:30
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:30
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -8.66%E -4.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 11:20
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -2.62%E -0.648%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 11:30
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -2.62%E -0.648%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.51%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:14
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 10:25
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 11:30
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -9.14%E -4.92%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:20
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:25
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:25
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24%EV -12.56%E -7.02%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 16:25
GTbets3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.27%EV -5.93%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 07:20
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:30
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 09:59
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 10:24
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 16:25
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 16:24
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.75%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 09:50
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:15
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:24
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.66%E -4.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 11:15
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 11:20
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:30
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:30
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.49%E -8.96%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-21 11:20
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 10:59
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 05:30
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 11:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 10:05
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.49%EV -16.96%E -9.98%K -24.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.14%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-21 11:20
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.85%EV -14.52%E -8.30%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 11:15
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -17.05%E -4.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -10.12%E -5.50%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 05:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-03-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-21 11:30