La escuela de los momios

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inicio: 2026-03-21 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Predicción 24.04%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -0.459%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%24.02%24.06%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.863.904.1028.99%25.88%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Predicción 48.85%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.08%48.91%48.83%51.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.861.881.9758.82%53.78%53.33%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.83%27.07%27.11%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.423.5533.33%29.40%29.20%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:30
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:30
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 11:30
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -8.66%E -4.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 11:20
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -2.62%E -0.648%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 11:30
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -2.62%E -0.648%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.51%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:14
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 10:25
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 11:30
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -9.14%E -4.92%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:20
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:25
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:25
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:24
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24%EV -12.56%E -7.02%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 16:25
GTbets3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -5.72%E -2.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.27%EV -5.93%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 07:20
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:30
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 09:59
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 10:24
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 16:25
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 16:24
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.75%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 09:50
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:15
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:24
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.66%E -4.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 11:15
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 11:20
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:30
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:30
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.49%E -8.96%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-21 11:20
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 10:59
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.17%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 05:30
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.21%E -3.24%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 11:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 10:05
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.49%EV -16.96%E -9.98%K -24.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.14%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-21 11:20
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.85%EV -14.52%E -8.30%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 11:15
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -17.05%E -4.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -10.12%E -5.50%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 05:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-03-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-21 11:30