Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Zhejiang

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prediction 63.92%1.56fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -9.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.48%64.02%63.88%66.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.441.4974.07%69.43%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zhejiang (Visit)

Prediction 15.39%6.50fair odd
EV +0.660%
Edge +0.101%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.09%15.37%15.50%17.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.855.906.5420.00%17.09%16.95%15.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.68%4.83fair odd
EV -0.714%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.61%20.62%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.404.8025.00%22.80%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 63.92%; Zhejiang (Visit): 15.39%; Draw: 20.68%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.660%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -6.03%E -4.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV +0.660%E +0.101%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -4.23%E -0.914%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.51%E -7.50%K -26.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -12.42%E -9.07%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -0.714%E -0.149%K -0.188%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:38
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.68%EV -1.19%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.76%EV -6.09%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -8.59%E -6.01%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -2.26%E -0.357%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -5.88%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:35
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.06%E -9.61%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:35
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.67%EV -13.70%E -10.15%K -39.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.55%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -13.06%E -9.61%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -17.26%E -4.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 16:35
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.82%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.82%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.73%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:24
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.44%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.39%EV -11.79%E -8.54%K -31.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.51%E -7.50%K -26.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.59%EV -9.87%E -7.00%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -18.42%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.19%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.19%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.62%EV -11.79%E -8.54%K -31.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -23.04%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -11.06%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:25