L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 63.92%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.75%
Avantage -3.19%
Kelly -9.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.48%64.02%63.88%66.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.441.441.4974.07%69.43%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.39%6.50cote équitable
EV +0.660%
Avantage +0.101%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.09%15.37%15.50%17.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.855.906.5420.00%17.09%16.95%15.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.68%4.83cote équitable
EV -0.714%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.188%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%20.61%20.62%22.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.404.8025.00%22.80%22.73%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -6.03%E -4.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV +0.660%E +0.101%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -4.23%E -0.914%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:34
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.51%E -7.50%K -26.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:35
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -12.42%E -9.07%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -0.714%E -0.149%K -0.188%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:38
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.68%EV -1.19%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.76%EV -6.09%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -8.59%E -6.01%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -2.26%E -0.357%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -5.88%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:50
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 14:34
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:15
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:14
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.06%E -9.61%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:35
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 64.67%EV -13.70%E -10.15%K -39.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.55%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -13.06%E -9.61%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -17.26%E -4.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 16:35
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.82%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.82%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:53
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.73%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:54
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 14:49
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:24
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.44%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.39%EV -11.79%E -8.54%K -31.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 19:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.51%E -7.50%K -26.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 14:29
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.59%EV -9.87%E -7.00%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -18.42%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.19%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.19%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.62%EV -11.79%E -8.54%K -31.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -23.04%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -11.06%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:25