La escuela de los momios

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Predicción 63.92%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.75%
Ventaja -3.19%
Kelly -9.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.48%64.02%63.88%66.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.441.441.4974.07%69.43%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 15.39%6.50momio equitativo
EV +0.660%
Ventaja +0.101%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.09%15.37%15.50%17.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.855.906.5420.00%17.09%16.95%15.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.68%4.83momio equitativo
EV -0.714%
Ventaja -0.149%
Kelly -0.188%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%20.61%20.62%22.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.394.404.8025.00%22.80%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -6.03%E -4.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV +0.660%E +0.101%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -4.23%E -0.914%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:34
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.51%E -7.50%K -26.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:35
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -12.42%E -9.07%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV +0.045%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -0.714%E -0.149%K -0.188%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:38
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.68%EV -1.19%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.76%EV -6.09%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -8.59%E -6.01%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -2.26%E -0.357%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.33%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -5.88%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 64.12%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -4.57%E -0.738%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:50
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 14:34
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:15
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:14
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.06%E -9.61%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:35
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 64.67%EV -13.70%E -10.15%K -39.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.55%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -13.06%E -9.61%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -7.65%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -17.26%E -4.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 16:35
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.82%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.82%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:53
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.73%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:54
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 14:49
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:24
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -4.75%E -3.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.44%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -8.99%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.39%EV -11.79%E -8.54%K -31.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.81%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 19:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.51%E -7.50%K -26.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 14:29
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -6.67%E -4.57%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -15.19%E -3.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.59%EV -9.87%E -7.00%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -18.42%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.19%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.19%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.44%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.62%EV -11.79%E -8.54%K -31.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -23.04%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -11.06%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-04-24 03:25