Language:English
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Prediction 66.08%1.51fair odd
EV -0.881%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.84%65.86%66.04%67.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.421.401.5079.37%70.61%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.57%7.37fair odd
EV +4.22%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +0.631%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 7.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.28%13.71%13.52%16.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.496.507.6818.18%15.41%15.38%13.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.35%4.91fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.351%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.37%20.43%20.44%23.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.374.405.0026.67%22.86%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 66.08%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 13.57%; Draw: 20.35%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.37. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 7.68I 13.02%NM 12.44%EV +4.22%E +0.549%K +0.631%G +0.027% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.78%EV -1.71%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.34%E -0.702%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.62%E -0.223%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.35%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 11:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.23%EV -4.85%E -3.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -2.02%E -0.280%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.56%EV -5.57%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.73%EV -8.15%E -5.86%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -2.30%E -0.319%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.35%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -4.85%E -3.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.73%EV -6.91%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.22%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.40%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -12.49%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.40%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.15%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.94%EV -16.74%E -13.29%K -64.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.29%EV -15.19%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.77%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 11:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -23.69%E -6.32%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-06 11:21 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.35%EV -10.79%E -7.99%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.72%EV -19.94%E -3.38%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.93%EV -15.55%E -3.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 65.18%EV -13.44%E -10.26%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.72%EV -21.29%E -3.67%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.09%EV -13.51%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.44%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -22.65%E -3.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -2.20%E -1.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -25.37%E -4.61%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.62%E -4.97%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -2.20%E -1.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -25.37%E -4.61%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.62%E -4.97%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 11:25 |