L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 66.08%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.881%
Avantage -0.587%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.84%65.86%66.04%67.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.421.401.5079.37%70.61%71.43%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.57%7.37cote équitable
EV +4.22%
Avantage +0.549%
Kelly +0.631%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 7.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.28%13.71%13.52%16.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.496.507.6818.18%15.41%15.38%13.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.35%4.91cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.438%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.37%20.43%20.44%23.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.374.405.0026.67%22.86%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.44%EV +4.22%E +0.549%K +0.631%G +0.027%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.78%EV -1.71%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:25
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-06 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-06 10:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-06 11:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.34%E -0.702%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 11:25
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 11:24
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.62%E -0.223%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.35%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 11:24
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.23%EV -4.85%E -3.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -2.02%E -0.280%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.56%EV -5.57%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 11:15
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.73%EV -8.15%E -5.86%K -20.90%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -2.30%E -0.319%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 11:25
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.35%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 11:15
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 11:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 11:25
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 11:25
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -4.85%E -3.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.73%EV -6.91%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.22%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 11:10
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.40%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -12.49%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 11:25
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.40%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 11:25
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 11:25
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 11:25
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 10:55
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.15%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 11:25
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 65.94%EV -16.74%E -13.29%K -64.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.29%EV -15.19%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.77%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 11:26
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 11:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 11:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -23.69%E -6.32%K -8.61%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 11:21
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.35%EV -10.79%E -7.99%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.72%EV -19.94%E -3.38%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.93%EV -15.55%E -3.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.18%EV -13.44%E -10.26%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.72%EV -21.29%E -3.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.09%EV -13.51%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.44%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -22.65%E -3.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 11:25
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -2.20%E -1.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -25.37%E -4.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.62%E -4.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -2.20%E -1.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -25.37%E -4.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.62%E -4.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.1%2026-03-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-06 11:25