La escuela de los momios

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inicio: 2026-03-06 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Predicción 66.08%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.881%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.84%65.86%66.04%67.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.421.401.5079.37%70.61%71.43%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Predicción 13.57%7.37momio equitativo
EV +4.22%
Ventaja +0.549%
Kelly +0.631%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.28%13.71%13.52%16.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.496.507.6818.18%15.41%15.38%13.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.35%4.91momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.351%
Kelly +0.438%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.37%20.43%20.44%23.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.374.405.0026.67%22.86%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.44%EV +4.22%E +0.549%K +0.631%G +0.027%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.78%EV -1.71%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:25
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-06 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-06 10:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +1.75%E +0.351%K +0.438%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-06 11:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.34%E -0.702%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 11:25
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 11:24
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.62%E -0.223%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.35%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 11:24
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.23%EV -4.85%E -3.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -2.02%E -0.280%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.56%EV -5.57%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 11:15
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.73%EV -8.15%E -5.86%K -20.90%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -2.30%E -0.319%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 11:25
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.35%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 11:15
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 11:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 11:25
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.01%E -0.716%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 11:25
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -4.85%E -3.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.73%EV -6.91%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -8.22%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 11:10
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.40%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -12.49%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 11:25
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.40%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 11:25
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 11:25
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.41%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 11:25
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.80%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 10:55
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.15%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.42%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 11:25
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 65.94%EV -16.74%E -13.29%K -64.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.29%EV -15.19%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.77%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 11:26
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 11:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 11:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.88%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -18.58%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -23.69%E -6.32%K -8.61%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 11:21
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.35%EV -10.79%E -7.99%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.72%EV -19.94%E -3.38%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.93%EV -15.55%E -3.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.18%EV -13.44%E -10.26%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.72%EV -21.29%E -3.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.09%EV -13.51%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-06 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.44%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -22.65%E -3.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.46%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 11:25
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -0.881%E -0.587%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -24.01%E -4.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -18.60%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -2.20%E -1.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -25.37%E -4.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.62%E -4.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -2.20%E -1.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -25.37%E -4.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -19.62%E -4.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.1%2026-03-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-06 11:25