Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 55.10%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 22.11%; Draw: 22.78%. For Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV +1.72%E +0.374%K +0.478%G +0.008% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.65%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -1.60%E -0.359%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -4.53%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.70%E -0.614%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -9.63%E -5.87%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -2.70%E -0.614%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.88%E -4.07%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -11.29%E -7.01%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -11.29%E -7.01%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -4.25%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.56%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.33%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.78%EV -5.14%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.02%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.02%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.17%E -0.745%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.63%E -5.87%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.55%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -13.49%E -8.59%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -11.55%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.25%E -5.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.08%EV -12.39%E -7.79%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -12.65%E -3.20%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -13.76%E -3.53%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.97%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.97%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -17.08%E -4.55%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51% | 2.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |