مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

البداية: 2026-05-19 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 0–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.10%1.81السعر العادل
EV -5.22%
الأفضلية -3.04%
Kelly -7.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.22%55.24%54.97%57.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.661.671.7263.69%60.17%59.88%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.11%4.52السعر العادل
EV +1.72%
الأفضلية +0.374%
Kelly +0.478%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.16%21.96%22.17%23.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.254.254.6026.67%23.56%23.53%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.78%4.39السعر العادل
EV -3.17%
الأفضلية -0.745%
Kelly -0.974%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.00%22.80%22.87%24.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.973.904.2528.57%25.22%25.64%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV +1.72%E +0.374%K +0.478%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:49
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.65%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -1.60%E -0.359%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -4.53%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 11:40
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.70%E -0.614%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -9.63%E -5.87%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -2.70%E -0.614%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 11:20
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.88%E -4.07%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -11.29%E -7.01%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -11.29%E -7.01%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 11:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -4.25%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 11:49
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.56%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.33%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:50
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.78%EV -5.14%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.02%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.02%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.17%E -0.745%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 11:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 11:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 11:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.63%E -5.87%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 11:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.55%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -13.49%E -8.59%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -11.55%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.25%E -5.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.08%EV -12.39%E -7.79%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -12.65%E -3.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -13.76%E -3.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.97%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.97%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 11:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -17.08%E -4.55%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 11:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-05-19 11:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-05-19 11:50