L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 12:00 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 0–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 55.10%1.81cote équitable
EV -5.22%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -7.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.22%55.24%54.97%57.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.661.671.7263.69%60.17%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.11%4.52cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.374%
Kelly +0.478%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.16%21.96%22.17%23.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.254.254.6026.67%23.56%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.78%4.39cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.745%
Kelly -0.974%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%22.80%22.87%24.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.973.904.2528.57%25.22%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV +1.72%E +0.374%K +0.478%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:49
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.492%E -0.109%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.65%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -1.60%E -0.359%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -4.53%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 11:40
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.70%E -0.614%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -9.63%E -5.87%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -2.70%E -0.614%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 11:20
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.88%E -4.07%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -11.29%E -7.01%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -11.29%E -7.01%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -3.81%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 11:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -4.25%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 11:49
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.56%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.33%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:50
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.78%EV -5.14%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.02%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.02%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.17%E -0.745%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 11:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.77%E -3.38%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 11:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 11:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.13%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.23%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.63%E -5.87%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.34%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 11:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.55%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -13.49%E -8.59%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -11.55%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.25%E -5.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.08%EV -12.39%E -7.79%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -12.65%E -3.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -13.76%E -3.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 11:50
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.97%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.97%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 11:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -10.73%E -6.63%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -17.08%E -4.55%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-05-19 11:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-05-19 11:50