A Escola das Odds

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Início: 2026-05-30 11:35 UTC

Final: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–0 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Previsão 53.53%1.87odd justa
EV -0.974%
Vantagem -0.527%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.76%53.45%53.54%54.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.8560.61%58.18%58.48%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 23.12%4.33odd justa
EV -0.582%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.176%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.76%23.22%23.09%24.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.994.004.3027.78%25.05%25.00%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.35%4.28odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.20%23.32%23.37%25.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.913.954.2030.30%25.59%25.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.76%EV -0.974%E -0.527%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 10:40
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.19%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 11:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 11:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 11:10
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.72%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.582%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:20
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -10.07%E -6.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -22.94%E -6.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-30 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.02%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-30 11:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-05-30 11:30